PICK:UNDER 6 (+100)

Pick write-up: Blackhawks @ Bruins, Under 6 (+100) Puck drop: 1:07 PM ET, TD Garden Bet: Under 6 goals at +100 (a push at exactly 6 returns the stake) Confidence: 7.5, right at the threshold Stake: 5.5 units, per your board The case 1. Chicago can’t score. Chicago is 4-9-0 and has scored two goals or fewer in five straight games. The Boston Globe Hockey-Reference has them at 27 goals for in 13 games, about 2.1 per game. Bedard’s goal was the only one in Thursday’s 4-1 loss at Detroit. 2. Boston defends well and doesn’t take many shots. Boston averages 25.9 shots per game, 31st in the league, and Boston’s defence has allowed the second-fewest goals in the league. That’s about 2.3 against per game (32 in 14). thespread Low shot volume keeps Chicago’s goalie from facing big workloads, which also holds down Boston’s own totals. 3. The totals history lines up. Chicago games are averaging about 5.8 goals (27 for and 48 against in 13 games). Boston games are averaging about 5.9 (50 for and 32 against in 14). With both sitting under 6, a line of 6 at even money has a modest edge.