PICK:HOUSTON TEXANS +3 (+102)

The betting market for the Houston Texans at Los Angeles Rams game shows the Houston Texans as an underdog on the spread, specifically at +3 across multiple bookmakers. Our model projects the Houston Texans to win this game by 1.7 points, indicating a significant edge when taking +3 points or more. The strong statistical profile of the Texans in 2024 supports this lean. Pick: Houston Texans +3 (+100) at bovada Model Projection: The model projects the Houston Texans to win by 1.7 points, making the +3 spread highly favorable. 2024 Offensive Performance: The Houston Texans averaged 21.882 points per game (PPG) in 2024, slightly higher than the Los Angeles Rams' 21.588 PPG. 2024 Defensive Performance: The Texans' defense was notably strong, allowing an average of 21.882 points per game, matching their offensive output. The Rams' defense allowed 22.706 points per game. Turnover Differential: Houston exhibited a significant advantage in turnover differential in 2024 with a +10 margin (#7 in the league), compared to the Rams' +6 (#12). This indicates a team that protects the ball well and creates opportunities on defense. Defensive Pressure: The Texans recorded 2.9 sacks per game (#5 in the league) in 2024, showcasing their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks, which could disrupt the Rams' passing game. The Rams had 2.2 sacks per game. Summary: The Houston Texans +3 spread at +100 odds with bovada presents strong betting value, supported by the model's projection for a Texans outright win and their superior 2024 season performance in scoring, defense, and turnover differential.